#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
San Francisco at Oregon State • FINAL17-16 • 17-16Final Score: San Francisco 77-78 Oregon State
Oregon State 58.2%San Francisco 41.8%
73-75147.6Oregon State -2.1Georgia Southern at Marshall • FINAL21-16 • 19-13Final Score: Georgia Southern 82-78 Marshall
Marshall 69.7%Georgia Southern 30.3%
79-85164.2Marshall -6.6Northwestern State at Nicholls • FINAL10-21 • 14-19Final Score: Northwestern State 47-61 Nicholls
Nicholls 68.3%Northwestern State 31.7%
68-73141.2Nicholls -5.6Fairfield at Siena • FINAL21-13 • 23-12Final Score: Fairfield 61-76 Siena
Siena 71.5%Fairfield 28.5%
67-74140.7Siena -6.6North Dakota at North Dakota State • FINAL18-17 • 27-8Final Score: North Dakota 62-70 North Dakota State
North Dakota State 90.1%North Dakota 9.9%
70-85154.7North Dakota State -15.3Idaho at Montana State • FINAL21-15 • 18-14Final Score: Idaho 78-74 Montana State
Montana State 63.5%Idaho 36.5%
74-78151.9Montana State -4.6Pacific at Santa Clara • FINAL18-15 • 26-9Final Score: Pacific 68-76 Santa Clara
Santa Clara 90.1%Pacific 9.9%
68-82150.2Santa Clara -14.3Alcorn State at Alabama State • FINAL9-23 • 10-22Final Score: Alcorn State 77-65 Alabama State
Alabama State 81.8%Alcorn State 18.2%
70-81150.5Alabama State -11.2New Orleans at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi • FINAL16-18 • 18-15Final Score: New Orleans 61-74 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 66.5%New Orleans 33.5%
71-77147.8Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -6.6Georgia Southern at Troy • FINAL21-16 • 22-12Final Score: Georgia Southern 61-77 Troy
Troy 74.4%Georgia Southern 25.6%
76-84160.0Troy -8.5Furman at East Tennessee State • FINAL22-13 • 23-11Final Score: Furman 76-61 East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State 71.1%Furman 28.9%
71-78148.3East Tennessee State -6.7Northern Kentucky at Wright State • FINAL20-14 • 23-12Final Score: Northern Kentucky 90-103 Wright State
Wright State 70.4%Northern Kentucky 29.6%
78-84161.2Wright State -6.0Northern Colorado at Montana • FINAL20-12 • 18-16Final Score: Northern Colorado 89-95 Montana
Northern Colorado 60.2%Montana 39.8%
80-79158.8Northern Colorado -1.0William & Mary at Hofstra • FINAL20-12 • 24-11Final Score: William & Mary 61-92 Hofstra
Hofstra 75.4%William & Mary 24.6%
73-81153.9Hofstra -7.9Campbell at Monmouth • FINAL15-18 • 19-15Final Score: Campbell 64-74 Monmouth
Monmouth 65.3%Campbell 34.7%
73-79152.1Monmouth -5.4THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.