#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Auburn at Alabama • FINAL21-16 • 24-10Final Score: Auburn 84-96 Alabama
Alabama 74.6%Auburn 25.4%
83-91174.2Alabama -8.1UCLA at USC • FINAL24-12 • 18-14Final Score: UCLA 89-68 USC
UCLA 75.6%USC 24.4%
80-75155.0UCLA -5.1Texas Tech at BYU • FINAL23-11 • 23-12Final Score: Texas Tech 76-82 BYU
BYU 57.4%Texas Tech 42.6%
78-81159.6BYU -3.2Arizona at Colorado • FINAL36-3 • 17-16Final Score: Arizona 89-79 Colorado
Arizona 92.6%Colorado 7.4%
89-73161.7Arizona -15.5Michigan State at Michigan • FINAL27-8 • 36-3Final Score: Michigan State 80-90 Michigan
Michigan 85.1%Michigan State 14.9%
71-84154.8Michigan -12.4Illinois at Maryland • FINAL28-9 • 12-20Final Score: Illinois 78-72 Maryland
Illinois 95.7%Maryland 4.3%
85-66150.3Illinois -18.8Providence at Georgetown • FINAL15-18 • 13-18Final Score: Providence 79-80 Georgetown
Georgetown 55.2%Providence 44.8%
75-78152.6Georgetown -2.6Cal State Bakersfield at Cal Poly • FINAL8-24 • 14-19Final Score: Cal State Bakersfield 76-108 Cal Poly
Cal Poly 89.1%Cal State Bakersfield 10.9%
76-90165.9Cal Poly -13.6UT Arlington at Abilene Christian • FINAL18-14 • 14-19Final Score: UT Arlington 64-57 Abilene Christian
UT Arlington 57.3%Abilene Christian 42.7%
70-69139.2UT Arlington -1.4Fresno State at Grand Canyon • FINAL13-19 • 20-12Final Score: Fresno State 60-85 Grand Canyon
Grand Canyon 87.3%Fresno State 12.7%
66-79145.8Grand Canyon -12.8Cal State Fullerton at Cal State Northridge • FINAL18-16 • 20-14Final Score: Cal State Fullerton 90-77 Cal State Northridge
Cal State Northridge 64.0%Cal State Fullerton 36.0%
82-87168.2Cal State Northridge -4.8Oklahoma at Texas • FINAL21-16 • 21-15Final Score: Oklahoma 88-85 Texas
Texas 61.1%Oklahoma 38.9%
80-84164.0Texas -4.4California Baptist at Southern Utah • FINAL25-9 • 10-22Final Score: California Baptist 82-75 Southern Utah
California Baptist 81.2%Southern Utah 18.8%
79-71149.4California Baptist -8.2Northwestern at Minnesota • FINAL15-19 • 15-18Final Score: Northwestern 66-67 Minnesota
Northwestern 50.9%Minnesota 49.1%
70-71141.5Minnesota -1.3UC San Diego at UC Santa Barbara • FINAL23-11 • 18-14Final Score: UC San Diego 64-63 UC Santa Barbara
UC Santa Barbara 57.1%UC San Diego 42.9%
73-76149.7UC Santa Barbara -2.7Utah Valley at Utah Tech • FINAL25-9 • 19-15Final Score: Utah Valley 104-101 Utah Tech
Utah Valley 69.1%Utah Tech 30.9%
79-74152.3Utah Valley -5.0Air Force at Nevada • FINAL3-29 • 24-13Final Score: Air Force 59-74 Nevada
Nevada 99.0%Air Force 1.0%
58-87145.2Nevada -29.8UC Davis at UC Irvine • FINAL19-14 • 23-12Final Score: UC Davis 69-79 UC Irvine
UC Irvine 83.5%UC Davis 16.5%
70-81151.2UC Irvine -11.5Washington at Oregon • FINAL16-17 • 12-19Final Score: Washington 79-85 Oregon
Washington 60.0%Oregon 40.0%
76-74149.2Washington -1.9Long Beach State at Hawai'i • FINAL10-22 • 24-9Final Score: Long Beach State 84-75 Hawai'i
Hawai'i 88.0%Long Beach State 12.0%
70-84153.9Hawai'i -14.8Penn State at Rutgers • FINAL12-20 • 13-20Final Score: Penn State 62-74 Rutgers
Rutgers 71.3%Penn State 28.7%
73-79151.3Rutgers -6.1Memphis at Tulane • FINAL13-19 • 18-15Final Score: Memphis 96-95 Tulane
Tulane 53.0%Memphis 47.0%
75-77151.8Tulane -1.2Charlotte at South Florida • FINAL17-17 • 25-9Final Score: Charlotte 60-83 South Florida
South Florida 93.6%Charlotte 6.4%
70-89158.9South Florida -18.4Temple at Tulsa • FINAL16-16 • 30-8Final Score: Temple 76-78 Tulsa
Tulsa 88.7%Temple 11.3%
70-84154.0Tulsa -14.1UTSA at Rice • FINAL5-25 • 13-18Final Score: UTSA 71-80 Rice
Rice 89.4%UTSA 10.6%
68-83151.3Rice -14.8East Carolina at UAB • FINAL11-20 • 20-12Final Score: East Carolina 83-90 UAB
UAB 87.1%East Carolina 12.9%
70-84153.2UAB -13.9Iowa at Nebraska • FINAL24-13 • 28-7Final Score: Iowa 75-84 Nebraska
Nebraska 69.4%Iowa 30.6%
68-74142.2Nebraska -6.7Northern Arizona at Idaho State • FINAL10-22 • 13-20Final Score: Northern Arizona 65-73 Idaho State
Idaho State 81.9%Northern Arizona 18.1%
70-80151.0Idaho State -10.0Queens University at Austin Peay • FINAL21-14 • 22-9Final Score: Queens University 90-83 Austin Peay
Austin Peay 70.2%Queens University 29.8%
79-87166.3Austin Peay -7.8Omaha at North Dakota State • FINAL16-17 • 27-8Final Score: Omaha 50-74 North Dakota State
North Dakota State 89.3%Omaha 10.7%
70-84153.9North Dakota State -14.8Western Carolina at Mercer • FINAL15-16 • 19-13Final Score: Western Carolina 77-73 Mercer
Mercer 65.3%Western Carolina 34.7%
77-84160.7Mercer -6.3Mount St. Mary's at Siena • FINAL15-17 • 23-12Final Score: Mount St. Mary's 58-63 Siena
Siena 85.3%Mount St. Mary's 14.7%
62-74136.1Siena -12.0Portland at San Francisco • FINAL15-19 • 17-16Final Score: Portland 65-82 San Francisco
San Francisco 79.1%Portland 20.9%
71-81152.5San Francisco -9.6Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina • FINAL21-16 • 19-13Final Score: Georgia Southern 96-72 Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina 56.3%Georgia Southern 43.7%
76-80155.9Coastal Carolina -3.2Morehead State at Tennessee State • FINAL20-13 • 23-10Final Score: Morehead State 67-93 Tennessee State
Tennessee State 80.4%Morehead State 19.6%
72-83155.0Tennessee State -10.2Sacramento State at Idaho • FINAL10-21 • 21-15Final Score: Sacramento State 45-68 Idaho
Idaho 83.8%Sacramento State 16.2%
73-85158.3Idaho -12.1North Dakota at St. Thomas-Minnesota • FINAL18-17 • 24-10Final Score: North Dakota 67-66 St. Thomas-Minnesota
St. Thomas-Minnesota 90.9%North Dakota 9.1%
70-86156.4St. Thomas-Minnesota -15.5Seattle U at Pacific • FINAL21-14 • 18-15Final Score: Seattle U 58-61 Pacific
Pacific 57.7%Seattle U 42.3%
69-72140.3Pacific -2.8Boston University at Navy • FINAL16-18 • 26-8Final Score: Boston University 73-72 Navy
Navy 77.4%Boston University 22.6%
67-77144.7Navy -9.9Colgate at Lehigh • FINAL18-15 • 18-17Final Score: Colgate 69-76 Lehigh
Lehigh 51.9%Colgate 48.1%
75-76150.5Lehigh -1.3Northern Iowa at UIC • FINAL23-13 • 19-16Final Score: Northern Iowa 84-69 UIC
UIC 50.8%Northern Iowa 49.2%
68-69137.8UIC -1.1Winthrop at High Point • FINAL23-11 • 31-5Final Score: Winthrop 76-91 High Point
High Point 87.4%Winthrop 12.6%
75-89164.5High Point -13.6Queens University at Central Arkansas • FINAL21-14 • 22-12Final Score: Queens University 98-93 Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas 68.3%Queens University 31.7%
80-87166.7Central Arkansas -6.9Northern Kentucky at Green Bay • FINAL20-14 • 18-15Final Score: Northern Kentucky 96-76 Green Bay
Green Bay 54.1%Northern Kentucky 45.9%
79-80158.5Green Bay -0.7Western Carolina at East Tennessee State • FINAL15-16 • 23-11Final Score: Western Carolina 67-69 East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State 73.1%Western Carolina 26.9%
73-81153.7East Tennessee State -8.4Southern Miss at Troy • FINAL19-16 • 22-12Final Score: Southern Miss 70-78 Troy
Troy 72.7%Southern Miss 27.3%
72-80152.6Troy -7.7Houston Christian at New Orleans • FINAL12-20 • 16-18Final Score: Houston Christian 60-73 New Orleans
New Orleans 79.5%Houston Christian 20.5%
69-78147.3New Orleans -9.0Marist at Merrimack • FINAL19-12 • 23-11Final Score: Marist 57-58 Merrimack
Merrimack 69.2%Marist 30.8%
64-68132.5Merrimack -4.4UNC Greensboro at Furman • FINAL15-19 • 22-13Final Score: UNC Greensboro 75-81 Furman
Furman 78.8%UNC Greensboro 21.2%
73-83155.8Furman -10.4Idaho State at Portland State • FINAL13-20 • 20-11Final Score: Idaho State 78-85 Portland State
Portland State 72.9%Idaho State 27.1%
71-80150.6Portland State -8.5Elon at William & Mary • FINAL14-18 • 20-12Final Score: Elon 62-72 William & Mary
William & Mary 80.7%Elon 19.3%
76-86162.6William & Mary -9.8Campbell at UNC Wilmington • FINAL15-18 • 27-7Final Score: Campbell 85-70 UNC Wilmington
UNC Wilmington 80.4%Campbell 19.6%
71-82152.6UNC Wilmington -10.7Drexel at Monmouth • FINAL17-16 • 19-15Final Score: Drexel 57-65 Monmouth
Monmouth 75.8%Drexel 24.2%
66-73138.8Monmouth -7.3Towson at Charleston • FINAL19-15 • 21-11Final Score: Towson 81-56 Charleston
Charleston 61.9%Towson 38.1%
69-73142.1Charleston -3.5THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.