Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayMarch 7, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
St. John's at Seton Hall • FINAL30-6 • 21-12Final Score: St. John's 72-65 Seton Hall
St. John's 72.3%Seton Hall 27.7%
74-69143.2St. John's -4.9
Wisconsin at Purdue • FINAL24-11 • 30-9Final Score: Wisconsin 97-93 Purdue
Purdue 81.4%Wisconsin 18.6%
75-84159.0Purdue -9.6
Vanderbilt at Tennessee • FINAL27-9 • 25-12Final Score: Vanderbilt 86-82 Tennessee
Tennessee 61.7%Vanderbilt 38.3%
77-81157.6Tennessee -3.7
Houston at Oklahoma State • FINAL29-7 • 20-15Final Score: Houston 82-75 Oklahoma State
Houston 88.1%Oklahoma State 11.9%
84-72155.9Houston -11.8
Arkansas at Missouri • FINAL28-9 • 20-13Final Score: Arkansas 88-84 Missouri
Arkansas 69.8%Missouri 30.2%
86-82168.0Arkansas -4.2
UConn at Marquette • FINAL34-5 • 12-20Final Score: UConn 62-68 Marquette
UConn 81.5%Marquette 18.5%
78-69147.7UConn -9.0
Louisville at Miami • FINAL24-11 • 26-9Final Score: Louisville 92-89 Miami
Miami 58.2%Louisville 41.8%
78-80158.0Miami -2.5
Arizona State at Iowa State • FINAL17-16 • 28-8Final Score: Arizona State 65-86 Iowa State
Iowa State 96.4%Arizona State 3.6%
65-88153.2Iowa State -22.2
Kansas State at Kansas • FINAL12-20 • 24-11Final Score: Kansas State 85-104 Kansas
Kansas 89.7%Kansas State 10.3%
70-85155.3Kansas -14.8
Florida at Kentucky • FINAL27-8 • 22-14Final Score: Florida 84-77 Kentucky
Florida 77.7%Kentucky 22.3%
84-77160.3Florida -7.0
North Carolina at Duke • FINAL24-9 • 35-3Final Score: North Carolina 61-76 Duke
Duke 91.3%North Carolina 8.7%
67-83149.8Duke -15.6
VCU at Dayton • FINAL28-8 • 25-12Final Score: VCU 68-62 Dayton
VCU 53.4%Dayton 46.6%
75-75149.6VCU -0.2
Pennsylvania at Brown • FINAL18-12 • 9-18Final Score: Pennsylvania 82-61 Brown
Pennsylvania 71.9%Brown 28.1%
75-71146.2Pennsylvania -3.3
Western Michigan at Kent State • FINAL10-21 • 24-10Final Score: Western Michigan 78-86 Kent State
Kent State 86.2%Western Michigan 13.8%
75-88163.2Kent State -13.0
Miami (OH) at Ohio • FINAL32-2 • 15-17Final Score: Miami (OH) 110-108 Ohio
Miami (OH) 71.2%Ohio 28.8%
86-79165.4Miami (OH) -6.5
Central Michigan at Ball State • FINAL10-21 • 12-19Final Score: Central Michigan 69-85 Ball State
Ball State 55.2%Central Michigan 44.8%
70-74144.0Ball State -3.1
Buffalo at Toledo • FINAL17-15 • 19-15Final Score: Buffalo 78-99 Toledo
Toledo 82.1%Buffalo 17.9%
75-85159.3Toledo -9.9
UCF at West Virginia • FINAL21-12 • 21-14Final Score: UCF 62-77 West Virginia
West Virginia 60.9%UCF 39.1%
72-77148.9West Virginia -4.3
UNLV at San Diego State • FINAL18-16 • 22-10Final Score: UNLV 86-89 San Diego State
San Diego State 79.0%UNLV 21.0%
73-83155.7San Diego State -10.3
Boise State at Colorado State • FINAL20-12 • 21-13Final Score: Boise State 78-67 Colorado State
Colorado State 51.3%Boise State 48.7%
75-76151.1Colorado State -1.3
Davidson at St. Bonaventure • FINAL20-14 • 17-17Final Score: Davidson 68-63 St. Bonaventure
St. Bonaventure 61.9%Davidson 38.1%
71-75146.1St. Bonaventure -3.5
Butler at DePaul • FINAL16-16 • 16-16Final Score: Butler 81-71 DePaul
DePaul 50.8%Butler 49.2%
74-76149.8DePaul -1.7
Xavier at Villanova • FINAL15-18 • 24-9Final Score: Xavier 78-91 Villanova
Villanova 83.4%Xavier 16.6%
72-84156.6Villanova -11.7
Notre Dame at Boston College • FINAL13-17 • 11-20Final Score: Notre Dame 69-77 Boston College
Notre Dame 50.1%Boston College 49.9%
72-73144.9Boston College -1.2
Georgia Tech at Clemson • FINAL11-20 • 24-10Final Score: Georgia Tech 76-79 Clemson
Clemson 92.2%Georgia Tech 7.8%
64-80144.2Clemson -16.3
Louisiana Tech at Delaware • FINAL20-14 • 10-21Final Score: Louisiana Tech 81-38 Delaware
Louisiana Tech 66.2%Delaware 33.8%
71-67137.4Louisiana Tech -4.2
Virginia Tech at Virginia • FINAL19-13 • 30-6Final Score: Virginia Tech 72-76 Virginia
Virginia 85.3%Virginia Tech 14.7%
71-83153.8Virginia -12.1
La Salle at Saint Joseph's • FINAL9-23 • 24-12Final Score: La Salle 76-88 Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's 85.3%La Salle 14.7%
65-77142.3Saint Joseph's -12.4
South Carolina at Ole Miss • FINAL13-19 • 15-20Final Score: South Carolina 64-61 Ole Miss
Ole Miss 74.0%South Carolina 26.0%
74-81154.2Ole Miss -7.0
Cornell at Dartmouth • FINAL15-13 • 11-16Final Score: Cornell 111-90 Dartmouth
Cornell 75.8%Dartmouth 24.2%
86-81167.1Cornell -5.2
George Washington at Loyola Chicago • FINAL19-16 • 9-24Final Score: George Washington 62-68 Loyola Chicago
George Washington 85.5%Loyola Chicago 14.5%
81-70150.7George Washington -11.3
Rhode Island at Fordham • FINAL16-16 • 17-15Final Score: Rhode Island 49-61 Fordham
Fordham 60.6%Rhode Island 39.4%
66-70135.3Fordham -4.1
Richmond at Duquesne • FINAL15-17 • 18-15Final Score: Richmond 77-79 Duquesne
Duquesne 63.8%Richmond 36.2%
75-80154.6Duquesne -4.6
Cincinnati at TCU • FINAL18-15 • 23-12Final Score: Cincinnati 63-73 TCU
TCU 57.7%Cincinnati 42.3%
71-74145.8TCU -3.0
SMU at Florida State • FINAL20-14 • 18-15Final Score: SMU 78-91 Florida State
Florida State 52.1%SMU 47.9%
82-83164.6Florida State -0.8
Princeton at Yale • FINAL9-20 • 23-7Final Score: Princeton 53-78 Yale
Yale 95.0%Princeton 5.0%
62-81143.9Yale -19.1
Columbia at Harvard • FINAL16-12 • 17-12Final Score: Columbia 71-81 Harvard
Harvard 64.3%Columbia 35.7%
69-73142.7Harvard -4.0
Western Kentucky at Florida International • FINAL18-14 • 15-17Final Score: Western Kentucky 67-92 Florida International
Western Kentucky 51.8%Florida International 48.2%
80-81160.8Florida International -1.1
Sam Houston at Liberty • FINAL22-12 • 26-8Final Score: Sam Houston 72-79 Liberty
Liberty 56.0%Sam Houston 44.0%
77-79155.6Liberty -2.3
Stanford at NC State • FINAL20-13 • 20-14Final Score: Stanford 85-84 NC State
NC State 64.8%Stanford 35.2%
76-82157.1NC State -5.9
Middle Tennessee at Missouri State • FINAL17-15 • 16-18Final Score: Middle Tennessee 75-63 Missouri State
Missouri State 58.7%Middle Tennessee 41.3%
74-76150.0Missouri State -2.9
Georgia at Mississippi State • FINAL22-11 • 13-19Final Score: Georgia 102-96 Mississippi State
Georgia 84.1%Mississippi State 15.9%
90-80169.9Georgia -10.4
New Mexico at Utah State • FINAL26-11 • 29-7Final Score: New Mexico 90-94 Utah State
Utah State 67.5%New Mexico 32.5%
75-80155.1Utah State -5.3
Saint Louis at George Mason • FINAL29-6 • 23-10Final Score: Saint Louis 57-86 George Mason
Saint Louis 64.4%George Mason 35.6%
78-73151.2Saint Louis -4.6
Florida Atlantic at Wichita State • FINAL18-15 • 24-12Final Score: Florida Atlantic 70-88 Wichita State
Wichita State 85.8%Florida Atlantic 14.2%
71-82153.2Wichita State -11.3
California at Wake Forest • FINAL22-12 • 18-17Final Score: California 73-80 Wake Forest
Wake Forest 65.3%California 34.7%
76-80156.6Wake Forest -4.0
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State • FINAL21-14 • 16-16Final Score: Kennesaw State 76-79 New Mexico State
New Mexico State 50.2%Kennesaw State 49.8%
77-78155.6New Mexico State -0.9
Jacksonville State at UTEP • FINAL15-17 • 11-20Final Score: Jacksonville State 64-61 UTEP
Jacksonville State 56.2%UTEP 43.8%
71-70141.3Jacksonville State -1.2
Wyoming at San José State • FINAL18-15 • 9-24Final Score: Wyoming 88-78 San José State
Wyoming 74.3%San José State 25.7%
79-73152.2Wyoming -6.5
Utah at Baylor • FINAL10-22 • 16-17Final Score: Utah 75-101 Baylor
Baylor 89.8%Utah 10.2%
72-87158.9Baylor -14.7
Pittsburgh at Syracuse • FINAL13-20 • 15-16Final Score: Pittsburgh 71-69 Syracuse
Syracuse 66.8%Pittsburgh 33.2%
70-76146.5Syracuse -5.9
Indiana at Ohio State • FINAL18-14 • 21-13Final Score: Indiana 78-91 Ohio State
Ohio State 77.0%Indiana 23.0%
73-81153.5Ohio State -7.5
Texas A&M at LSU • FINAL20-12 • 15-17Final Score: Texas A&M 94-91 LSU
LSU 52.1%Texas A&M 47.9%
80-81161.4LSU -1.3
Omaha at South Dakota • FINAL16-17 • 16-16Final Score: Omaha 76-62 South Dakota
South Dakota 60.6%Omaha 39.4%
78-82159.7South Dakota -3.4
Valparaiso at Bradley • FINAL18-15 • 21-13Final Score: Valparaiso 84-90 Bradley
Bradley 73.3%Valparaiso 26.7%
70-78148.4Bradley -7.4
VMI at UNC Greensboro • FINAL5-26 • 15-19Final Score: VMI 70-84 UNC Greensboro
UNC Greensboro 92.2%VMI 7.8%
70-85155.9UNC Greensboro -14.9
West Georgia at Queens University • FINAL15-17 • 21-14Final Score: West Georgia 63-71 Queens University
Queens University 80.4%West Georgia 19.6%
79-88167.1Queens University -9.3
UT Martin at Tennessee State • FINAL22-11 • 23-10Final Score: UT Martin 55-68 Tennessee State
Tennessee State 75.6%UT Martin 24.4%
69-75144.0Tennessee State -6.7
Georgia Southern at South Alabama • FINAL21-16 • 21-12Final Score: Georgia Southern 94-85 South Alabama
South Alabama 68.3%Georgia Southern 31.7%
74-80154.9South Alabama -6.1
Fairfield at Saint Peter's • FINAL21-13 • 17-12Final Score: Fairfield 74-55 Saint Peter's
Saint Peter's 55.5%Fairfield 44.5%
70-73142.6Saint Peter's -2.6
Presbyterian at Radford • FINAL15-18 • 16-16Final Score: Presbyterian 91-85 Radford
Radford 65.8%Presbyterian 34.2%
75-80154.9Radford -5.2
Portland at Washington State • FINAL15-19 • 12-20Final Score: Portland 74-68 Washington State
Washington State 76.5%Portland 23.5%
74-82156.1Washington State -8.1
Denver at North Dakota • FINAL15-17 • 18-17Final Score: Denver 67-83 North Dakota
Denver 52.3%North Dakota 47.7%
81-83164.2North Dakota -1.3
Northern Iowa at Illinois State • FINAL23-13 • 23-13Final Score: Northern Iowa 74-52 Illinois State
Northern Iowa 55.9%Illinois State 44.1%
68-68136.0Illinois State -0.3
Southeast Missouri State at Morehead State • FINAL20-13 • 20-13Final Score: Southeast Missouri State 61-66 Morehead State
Morehead State 50.8%Southeast Missouri State 49.2%
74-75149.1Morehead State -0.6
San Diego at Seattle U • FINAL12-21 • 21-14Final Score: San Diego 56-58 Seattle U
Seattle U 85.8%San Diego 14.2%
67-80146.8Seattle U -12.7
Wagner at Long Island University • FINAL14-17 • 24-11Final Score: Wagner 56-64 Long Island University
Long Island University 79.0%Wagner 21.0%
68-77144.9Long Island University -8.7
Stonehill at Mercyhurst • FINAL12-21 • 17-17Final Score: Stonehill 51-56 Mercyhurst
Mercyhurst 79.5%Stonehill 20.5%
63-72134.4Mercyhurst -9.1
Maine at NJIT • FINAL8-24 • 16-17Final Score: Maine 58-60 NJIT
NJIT 69.7%Maine 30.3%
64-70134.0NJIT -5.7
UAlbany at UMass Lowell • FINAL11-20 • 15-18Final Score: UAlbany 76-81 UMass Lowell
UMass Lowell 67.3%UAlbany 32.7%
71-75146.1UMass Lowell -4.8
Bryant at Vermont • FINAL9-22 • 22-12Final Score: Bryant 57-77 Vermont
Vermont 93.3%Bryant 6.7%
61-78139.1Vermont -16.9
New Hampshire at UMBC • FINAL9-21 • 24-8Final Score: New Hampshire 69-84 UMBC
UMBC 96.5%New Hampshire 3.5%
60-81141.2UMBC -20.9
The Citadel at East Tennessee State • FINAL11-22 • 23-11Final Score: The Citadel 76-83 East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State 95.0%The Citadel 5.0%
64-84148.7East Tennessee State -19.9
UNC Asheville at High Point • FINAL15-17 • 31-5Final Score: UNC Asheville 71-75 High Point
High Point 95.0%UNC Asheville 5.0%
68-88156.4High Point -20.5
UNC Greensboro at Wofford • FINAL15-19 • 19-13Final Score: UNC Greensboro 75-72 Wofford
Wofford 66.8%UNC Greensboro 33.2%
78-84161.2Wofford -6.1
Presbyterian at Winthrop • FINAL15-18 • 23-11Final Score: Presbyterian 71-73 Winthrop
Winthrop 82.9%Presbyterian 17.1%
71-83154.2Winthrop -11.5
Drake at UIC • FINAL14-20 • 19-16Final Score: Drake 51-72 UIC
UIC 84.0%Drake 16.0%
69-80149.5UIC -10.9
Florida Gulf Coast at Central Arkansas • FINAL16-18 • 22-12Final Score: Florida Gulf Coast 63-73 Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas 75.2%Florida Gulf Coast 24.8%
75-83157.8Central Arkansas -8.3
Furman at Samford • FINAL22-13 • 18-14Final Score: Furman 86-81 Samford
Samford 63.0%Furman 37.0%
75-78152.8Samford -3.3
Northern Iowa at Bradley • FINAL23-13 • 21-13Final Score: Northern Iowa 73-69 Bradley
Northern Iowa 55.6%Bradley 44.4%
71-70140.7Northern Iowa -0.4
Marist at Quinnipiac • FINAL19-12 • 19-13Final Score: Marist 77-75 Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac 62.5%Marist 37.5%
68-72140.0Quinnipiac -3.4
Southern Miss at App State • FINAL19-16 • 19-13Final Score: Southern Miss 86-73 App State
App State 72.9%Southern Miss 27.1%
68-76143.6App State -7.4
Campbell at Stony Brook • FINAL15-18 • 17-15Final Score: Campbell 96-89 Stony Brook
Stony Brook 50.2%Campbell 49.8%
75-77151.6Stony Brook -2.1
Northeastern at Drexel • FINAL8-23 • 17-16Final Score: Northeastern 77-84 Drexel
Drexel 75.6%Northeastern 24.4%
69-78146.2Drexel -9.1
Hampton at Towson • FINAL13-19 • 19-15Final Score: Hampton 68-74 Towson
Towson 84.7%Hampton 15.3%
63-74137.1Towson -11.0
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.