#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Miami (OH) at SMU • FINAL32-2 • 20-14Final Score: Miami (OH) 89-79 SMU
SMU 67.0%Miami (OH) 33.0%
83-86168.9SMU -3.8Texas A&M at Saint Mary's • FINAL20-12 • 27-6Final Score: Texas A&M 63-50 Saint Mary's
Saint Mary's 87.3%Texas A&M 12.7%
69-81150.1Saint Mary's -12.8VCU at North Carolina • FINAL28-8 • 24-9Final Score: VCU 82-78 North Carolina
North Carolina 61.1%VCU 38.9%
75-79154.5North Carolina -3.7Troy at Nebraska • FINAL22-12 • 28-7Final Score: Troy 47-76 Nebraska
Nebraska 87.5%Troy 12.5%
68-81149.2Nebraska -12.7McNeese at Vanderbilt • FINAL27-6 • 27-9Final Score: McNeese 68-78 Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt 68.0%McNeese 32.0%
74-80153.7Vanderbilt -5.6Howard at Michigan • FINAL24-11 • 36-3Final Score: Howard 80-101 Michigan
Michigan 96.0%Howard 4.0%
67-88154.7Michigan -20.8Texas at BYU • FINAL21-15 • 23-12Final Score: Texas 79-71 BYU
BYU 68.3%Texas 31.7%
79-85163.2BYU -6.0North Dakota State at Michigan State • FINAL27-8 • 27-8Final Score: North Dakota State 67-92 Michigan State
Michigan State 84.7%North Dakota State 15.3%
70-81150.5Michigan State -10.8South Florida at Louisville • FINAL25-9 • 24-11Final Score: South Florida 79-83 Louisville
Louisville 57.9%South Florida 42.1%
81-84164.4Louisville -3.4Hawai'i at Arkansas • FINAL24-9 • 28-9Final Score: Hawai'i 78-97 Arkansas
Arkansas 89.7%Hawai'i 10.3%
76-89165.3Arkansas -12.5High Point at Wisconsin • FINAL31-5 • 24-11Final Score: High Point 83-82 Wisconsin
Wisconsin 50.2%High Point 49.8%
83-82164.3High Point -0.9TCU at Ohio State • FINAL23-12 • 21-13Final Score: TCU 66-64 Ohio State
Ohio State 74.0%TCU 26.0%
73-80153.0Ohio State -6.8Siena at Duke • FINAL23-12 • 35-3Final Score: Siena 65-71 Duke
Duke 97.4%Siena 2.6%
59-82140.4Duke -23.1Saint Joseph's at Colorado State • FINAL24-12 • 21-13Final Score: Saint Joseph's 69-64 Colorado State
Colorado State 69.7%Saint Joseph's 30.3%
70-76146.2Colorado State -5.6UIC at California • FINAL19-16 • 22-12Final Score: UIC 73-91 California
California 61.9%UIC 38.1%
73-77150.4California -4.2Dayton at Bradley • FINAL25-12 • 21-13Final Score: Dayton 80-66 Bradley
Dayton 52.6%Bradley 47.4%
74-75148.4Bradley -0.6Kent State at Illinois State • FINAL24-10 • 23-13Final Score: Kent State 58-79 Illinois State
Illinois State 61.4%Kent State 38.6%
76-80156.2Illinois State -4.5George Washington at Utah Valley • FINAL19-16 • 25-9Final Score: George Washington 79-78 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 60.6%George Washington 39.4%
75-80154.7Utah Valley -4.6Sam Houston at New Mexico • FINAL22-12 • 26-11Final Score: Sam Houston 83-107 New Mexico
New Mexico 79.5%Sam Houston 20.5%
74-84157.8New Mexico -9.4Murray State at Nevada • FINAL20-13 • 24-13Final Score: Murray State 75-89 Nevada
Nevada 76.9%Murray State 23.1%
75-83158.8Nevada -7.8THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.