#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Idaho at Houston • FINAL21-15 • 29-7Final Score: Idaho 47-78 Houston
Houston 95.5%Idaho 4.5%
63-83145.9Houston -19.4Pennsylvania at Illinois • FINAL18-12 • 28-9Final Score: Pennsylvania 70-105 Illinois
Illinois 95.8%Pennsylvania 4.2%
66-87153.5Illinois -20.5Saint Louis at Georgia • FINAL29-6 • 22-11Final Score: Saint Louis 102-77 Georgia
Georgia 55.5%Saint Louis 44.5%
84-85168.7Georgia -0.9Kennesaw State at Gonzaga • FINAL21-14 • 31-4Final Score: Kennesaw State 64-73 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 94.3%Kennesaw State 5.7%
69-88157.8Gonzaga -18.9Long Island University at Arizona • FINAL24-11 • 36-3Final Score: Long Island University 58-92 Arizona
Arizona 97.8%Long Island University 2.2%
64-89152.6Arizona -24.9Utah State at Villanova • FINAL29-7 • 24-9Final Score: Utah State 86-76 Villanova
Utah State 54.8%Villanova 45.2%
77-76152.8Utah State -0.6Miami (OH) at Tennessee • FINAL32-2 • 25-12Final Score: Miami (OH) 56-78 Tennessee
Tennessee 80.0%Miami (OH) 20.0%
76-84160.3Tennessee -8.2Wright State at Virginia • FINAL23-12 • 30-6Final Score: Wright State 73-82 Virginia
Virginia 86.1%Wright State 13.9%
71-83154.2Virginia -12.4Santa Clara at Kentucky • FINAL26-9 • 22-14Final Score: Santa Clara 84-89 Kentucky
Kentucky 59.8%Santa Clara 40.2%
78-81158.6Kentucky -2.7Tennessee State at Iowa State • FINAL23-10 • 28-8Final Score: Tennessee State 74-108 Iowa State
Iowa State 94.2%Tennessee State 5.8%
68-86153.2Iowa State -18.2Iowa at Clemson • FINAL24-13 • 24-10Final Score: Iowa 67-61 Clemson
Clemson 50.8%Iowa 49.2%
68-70137.7Clemson -1.7Hofstra at Alabama • FINAL24-11 • 24-10Final Score: Hofstra 70-90 Alabama
Alabama 83.8%Hofstra 16.2%
76-86161.6Alabama -10.1Akron at Texas Tech • FINAL29-6 • 23-11Final Score: Akron 71-91 Texas Tech
Texas Tech 62.5%Akron 37.5%
79-82161.4Texas Tech -3.0Queens University at Purdue • FINAL21-14 • 30-9Final Score: Queens University 71-104 Purdue
Purdue 94.8%Queens University 5.2%
73-92164.5Purdue -19.0UCF at UCLA • FINAL21-12 • 24-12Final Score: UCF 71-75 UCLA
UCLA 76.3%UCF 23.7%
74-82156.5UCLA -7.9Northern Iowa at St. John's • FINAL23-13 • 30-6Final Score: Northern Iowa 53-79 St. John's
St. John's 82.4%Northern Iowa 17.6%
65-76140.4St. John's -10.8THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.