#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Prairie View A&M at Florida • FINAL19-18 • 27-8Final Score: Prairie View A&M 55-114 Florida
Florida 99.0%Prairie View A&M 1.0%
65-95160.3Florida -29.7Missouri at Miami • FINAL20-13 • 26-9Final Score: Missouri 66-80 Miami
Miami 80.7%Missouri 19.3%
73-84156.7Miami -10.4Furman at UConn • FINAL22-13 • 34-5Final Score: Furman 71-82 UConn
UConn 91.1%Furman 8.9%
65-80145.4UConn -15.1California Baptist at Kansas • FINAL25-9 • 24-11Final Score: California Baptist 60-68 Kansas
Kansas 71.5%California Baptist 28.5%
68-75142.2Kansas -6.9Texas at Gonzaga • FINAL21-15 • 31-4Final Score: Texas 74-68 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 89.6%Texas 10.4%
71-87157.9Gonzaga -15.4Texas A&M at Houston • FINAL20-12 • 29-7Final Score: Texas A&M 57-88 Houston
Houston 92.5%Texas A&M 7.5%
66-82148.7Houston -16.3Saint Louis at Michigan • FINAL29-6 • 36-3Final Score: Saint Louis 72-95 Michigan
Michigan 89.0%Saint Louis 11.0%
75-87161.4Michigan -12.4Louisville at Michigan State • FINAL24-11 • 27-8Final Score: Louisville 69-77 Michigan State
Michigan State 69.2%Louisville 30.8%
75-80154.4Michigan State -5.2TCU at Duke • FINAL23-12 • 35-3Final Score: TCU 58-81 Duke
Duke 95.1%TCU 4.9%
65-84148.7Duke -19.3Dayton at UNC Wilmington • FINAL25-12 • 27-7Final Score: Dayton 80-61 UNC Wilmington
UNC Wilmington 60.6%Dayton 39.4%
70-74144.4UNC Wilmington -4.2THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.