#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
High Point at Arkansas • FINAL31-5 • 28-9Final Score: High Point 88-94 Arkansas
Arkansas 63.2%High Point 36.8%
85-87171.9Arkansas -2.5Vanderbilt at Nebraska • FINAL27-9 • 28-7Final Score: Vanderbilt 72-74 Nebraska
Nebraska 57.4%Vanderbilt 42.6%
76-79154.2Nebraska -2.9VCU at Illinois • FINAL28-8 • 28-9Final Score: VCU 55-76 Illinois
Illinois 84.7%VCU 15.3%
72-83154.9Illinois -11.3Miami at Purdue • FINAL26-9 • 30-9Final Score: Miami 69-79 Purdue
Purdue 79.7%Miami 20.3%
73-82155.2Purdue -8.3Iowa at Florida • FINAL24-13 • 27-8Final Score: Iowa 73-72 Florida
Florida 90.3%Iowa 9.7%
68-83151.7Florida -15.0Tennessee at Virginia • FINAL25-12 • 30-6Final Score: Tennessee 79-72 Virginia
Virginia 63.2%Tennessee 36.8%
73-78150.6Virginia -4.5Kentucky at Iowa State • FINAL22-14 • 28-8Final Score: Kentucky 63-82 Iowa State
Iowa State 86.4%Kentucky 13.6%
70-83153.3Iowa State -12.8St. John's at Kansas • FINAL30-6 • 24-11Final Score: St. John's 67-65 Kansas
St. John's 60.2%Kansas 39.8%
75-73148.5St. John's -1.6Illinois State at Wake Forest • FINAL23-13 • 18-17Final Score: Illinois State 78-75 Wake Forest
Wake Forest 70.6%Illinois State 29.4%
73-78151.3Wake Forest -4.9Seattle U at Auburn • FINAL21-14 • 21-16Final Score: Seattle U 85-91 Auburn
Auburn 87.6%Seattle U 12.4%
71-82152.7Auburn -11.0Liberty at Nevada • FINAL26-8 • 24-13Final Score: Liberty 63-73 Nevada
Nevada 76.7%Liberty 23.3%
71-78149.5Nevada -7.3UNLV at Tulsa • FINAL18-16 • 30-8Final Score: UNLV 66-77 Tulsa
Tulsa 86.4%UNLV 13.6%
74-88162.0Tulsa -13.4THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.