Illinois State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
30.8%Illinois State
69.2%Saint Mary's
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -5.2
PROJECTED TOTAL147.7
MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -225
Saint Mary's
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreIllinois State 71
Projected Total147.7
Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 76
Team Comparison
59.8MMH Power Index62
112.9Offensive Efficiency114.0
102.4Defensive Efficiency101.8
10.5Net Efficiency12.2
1.1Strength of Schedule0.4
10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency12.3
68.3Tempo67.7
52.6%Effective FG%52.3%
16.7%Turnover Rate16.7%
30.2%Offensive Rebound %32.4%
34.8%Free Throw Rate36.0%
7.1Average Margin8.3
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY69.2%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.0–59.8), offensive efficiency (114.0–112.9), defensive efficiency (101.8–102.4), net efficiency (12.2–10.5).
Illinois State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.1–0.4), shooting efficiency (52.6–52.3).