UMBC

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.3%UMBC

82.7%Marist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarist -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL145.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMarist -478

Marist

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 68

Projected Total145.2

Projected ScoreMarist 78

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricMarist

36.8MMH Power Index46.9

104.2Offensive Efficiency106.3

111.1Defensive Efficiency105.9

-6.9Net Efficiency0.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

-7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

67.3Tempo67.9

52.6%Effective FG%51.5%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.7%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

35.4%Free Throw Rate33.4%

-4.7Average Margin0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.9–36.8), offensive efficiency (106.3–104.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–111.1), net efficiency (0.4–-6.9).

UMBC COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.6–51.5), ball security (16.1–16.7), free throw rate (35.4–33.4).