Toledo

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GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%Toledo

74.4%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -291

Michigan State

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 72

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScoreMichigan State 79

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricMichigan State

53.9MMH Power Index59

112.5Offensive Efficiency113.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency103.7

6.4Net Efficiency9.5

-0.9Strength of Schedule0.0

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.4Tempo68.2

52.8%Effective FG%52.5%

16.2%Turnover Rate16.8%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

34.4%Free Throw Rate36.0%

4.4Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–53.9), offensive efficiency (113.2–112.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–106.1), net efficiency (9.5–6.4).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.8–52.5), ball security (16.2–16.8).