Pennsylvania

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.9%Pennsylvania

63.1%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -171

Illinois

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 74

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreIllinois 77

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricIllinois

62.4MMH Power Index62

114.8Offensive Efficiency115.6

101.2Defensive Efficiency103.7

13.6Net Efficiency11.9

-0.6Strength of Schedule0.0

13.6Last 10 Net Efficiency11.9

69.5Tempo67.8

51.7%Effective FG%52.7%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.8%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

35.9%Free Throw Rate35.3%

9.4Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPennsylvania holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.4–62.0), defensive efficiency (101.2–103.7), net efficiency (13.6–11.9), recent form (13.6–11.9).

Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.6–114.8), strength of schedule (0.0–-0.6), shooting efficiency (52.7–51.7).