Indiana State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
39.4%Indiana State
60.6%Ball State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADBall State -2.8
PROJECTED TOTAL148.6
MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -154
Ball State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreIndiana State 73
Projected Total148.6
Projected ScoreBall State 76
Team Comparison
45.9MMH Power Index44.5
107.1Offensive Efficiency106.3
107.9Defensive Efficiency107.5
-0.8Net Efficiency-1.2
1.1Strength of Schedule-0.9
-0.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.2
69.7Tempo67.7
52.4%Effective FG%51.1%
17.4%Turnover Rate16.5%
29.9%Offensive Rebound %29.7%
34.0%Free Throw Rate35.1%
-0.5Average Margin-0.8
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Ball State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY60.6%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–44.5), offensive efficiency (107.1–106.3), net efficiency (-0.8–-1.2), strength of schedule (1.1–-0.9).
Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–107.9), ball security (16.5–17.4), free throw rate (35.1–34.0).