
Illinois State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
35.0%Illinois State
65.0%Purdue
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADPurdue -4.0
PROJECTED TOTAL149.0
MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -186

Purdue
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreIllinois State 72
Projected Total149.0
Projected ScorePurdue 77
Team Comparison
59.8MMH Power Index60.5
112.9Offensive Efficiency115.6
102.4Defensive Efficiency104.8
10.5Net Efficiency10.8
1.1Strength of Schedule0.0
10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency10.7
68.3Tempo67.2
52.6%Effective FG%53.4%
16.7%Turnover Rate15.9%
30.2%Offensive Rebound %32.1%
34.8%Free Throw Rate34.1%
7.1Average Margin7.2
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Purdue HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY65.0%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.5–59.8), offensive efficiency (115.6–112.9), net efficiency (10.8–10.5), recent form (10.7–10.5).
Illinois State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.4–104.8), strength of schedule (1.1–0.0), free throw rate (34.8–34.1).