Morgan State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
42.2%Morgan State
57.8%UMBC
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADUMBC -2.0
PROJECTED TOTAL149.9
MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -137
UMBC
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreMorgan State 74
Projected Total149.9
Projected ScoreUMBC 76
Team Comparison
42.2MMH Power Index36.8
106.8Offensive Efficiency104.2
109.0Defensive Efficiency111.1
-2.2Net Efficiency-6.9
-5.9Strength of Schedule-3.7
-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.0
70.3Tempo67.3
51.1%Effective FG%52.6%
16.9%Turnover Rate16.1%
30.9%Offensive Rebound %29.4%
37.6%Free Throw Rate35.4%
-1.6Average Margin-4.7
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
UMBC HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY57.8%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorgan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.2–36.8), offensive efficiency (106.8–104.2), defensive efficiency (109.0–111.1), net efficiency (-2.2–-6.9).
UMBC COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.7–-5.9), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.1), ball security (16.1–16.9).