
Illinois State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
45.4%Illinois State
54.6%North Dakota State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -1.2
PROJECTED TOTAL150.1
MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -120

North Dakota State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreIllinois State 74
Projected Total150.1
Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 76
Team Comparison
59.8MMH Power Index56.4
112.9Offensive Efficiency112.6
102.4Defensive Efficiency103.7
10.5Net Efficiency8.9
1.1Strength of Schedule-2.7
10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency9.0
68.3Tempo69.3
52.6%Effective FG%52.6%
16.7%Turnover Rate16.4%
30.2%Offensive Rebound %31.1%
34.8%Free Throw Rate34.7%
7.1Average Margin6.2
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY54.6%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–56.4), offensive efficiency (112.9–112.6), defensive efficiency (102.4–103.7), net efficiency (10.5–8.9).
North Dakota State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.4–16.7), offensive rebounding (31.1–30.2).