Northwestern State

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.6%Northwestern State

62.4%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -166

Little Rock

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 72

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 75

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricLittle Rock

46.2MMH Power Index45.3

107.3Offensive Efficiency107.3

108.2Defensive Efficiency107.8

-0.9Net Efficiency-0.5

0.0Strength of Schedule-2.1

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

66.3Tempo68.8

51.4%Effective FG%51.6%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

37.1%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-0.6Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (107.8–108.2), net efficiency (-0.5–-0.9), recent form (-0.5–-0.9), shooting efficiency (51.6–51.4).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (46.2–45.3), strength of schedule (0.0–-2.1), ball security (16.9–17.2).