Bellarmine

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GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.3%Bellarmine

91.7%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -15.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -1105

Illinois State

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 68

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreIllinois State 83

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricIllinois State

43.8MMH Power Index59.8

109.8Offensive Efficiency112.9

112.9Defensive Efficiency102.4

-3.1Net Efficiency10.5

-1.9Strength of Schedule1.1

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency10.5

68.0Tempo68.3

54.0%Effective FG%52.6%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.7%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

35.7%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-2.2Average Margin7.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–43.8), offensive efficiency (112.9–109.8), defensive efficiency (102.4–112.9), net efficiency (10.5–-3.1).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (54.0–52.6), ball security (16.3–16.7), free throw rate (35.7–34.8).