Villanova

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GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Villanova

63.8%Pittsburgh

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPittsburgh -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL148.1

MODEL MONEYLINEPittsburgh -176

Pittsburgh

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 72

Projected Total148.1

Projected ScorePittsburgh 76

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricPittsburgh

58.7MMH Power Index57

112.1Offensive Efficiency111.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency105.7

6.8Net Efficiency5.6

4.4Strength of Schedule5.5

6.9Last 10 Net Efficiency5.7

68.2Tempo67.0

52.5%Effective FG%51.8%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

34.7%Free Throw Rate34.6%

4.7Average Margin3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pittsburgh HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.7–57.0), offensive efficiency (112.1–111.3), defensive efficiency (105.3–105.7), net efficiency (6.8–5.6).

Pittsburgh COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–4.4), offensive rebounding (31.4–31.0).