Dayton

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.7%Dayton

48.3%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -107

Northwestern

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 74

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricNorthwestern

58.6MMH Power Index52.5

111.9Offensive Efficiency110.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency106.7

9.0Net Efficiency4.2

2.2Strength of Schedule0.0

9.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

68.7Tempo67.3

52.0%Effective FG%52.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.8%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %30.1%

38.7%Free Throw Rate35.5%

6.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.6–52.5), offensive efficiency (111.9–110.9), defensive efficiency (102.9–106.7), net efficiency (9.0–4.2).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (15.8–16.7), offensive rebounding (30.1–29.8).