Illinois State

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GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Illinois State

78.2%Santa Clara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSanta Clara -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINESanta Clara -359

Santa Clara

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 71

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreSanta Clara 80

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricSanta Clara

59.8MMH Power Index66.7

112.9Offensive Efficiency117.1

102.4Defensive Efficiency101.0

10.5Net Efficiency16.1

1.1Strength of Schedule0.4

10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency16.1

68.3Tempo69.4

52.6%Effective FG%52.7%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.3%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

34.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

7.1Average Margin11.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Santa Clara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSanta Clara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–59.8), offensive efficiency (117.1–112.9), defensive efficiency (101.0–102.4), net efficiency (16.1–10.5).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.1–0.4), free throw rate (34.8–33.2).