UMBC

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.3%UMBC

92.7%Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -16.5

PROJECTED TOTAL145.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -1270

Iowa

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 64

Projected Total145.1

Projected ScoreIowa 81

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricIowa

36.8MMH Power Index56.5

104.2Offensive Efficiency112.8

111.1Defensive Efficiency105.4

-6.9Net Efficiency7.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule0.0

-7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency7.5

67.3Tempo66.0

52.6%Effective FG%53.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.3%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

35.4%Free Throw Rate35.9%

-4.7Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–36.8), offensive efficiency (112.8–104.2), defensive efficiency (105.4–111.1), net efficiency (7.4–-6.9).

UMBC COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–16.3).