Arkansas State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
62.0%Arkansas State
38.0%Florida International
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArkansas State -3.2
PROJECTED TOTAL157.4
MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -163
Florida International
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreArkansas State 80
Projected Total157.4
Projected ScoreFlorida International 77
Team Comparison
55.8MMH Power Index42.1
112.0Offensive Efficiency106.5
104.9Defensive Efficiency109.7
7.1Net Efficiency-3.2
-1.4Strength of Schedule-0.5
7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2
71.2Tempo71.3
52.2%Effective FG%51.9%
17.4%Turnover Rate16.9%
32.6%Offensive Rebound %31.9%
36.7%Free Throw Rate36.9%
5.1Average Margin-2.3
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY62.0%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–42.1), offensive efficiency (112.0–106.5), defensive efficiency (104.9–109.7), net efficiency (7.1–-3.2).
Florida International COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-1.4), ball security (16.9–17.4), free throw rate (36.9–36.7).