Arkansas

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.6%Arkansas

64.4%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -181

Michigan State

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 76

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreMichigan State 80

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricMichigan State

58.8MMH Power Index59

114.8Offensive Efficiency113.2

105.5Defensive Efficiency103.7

9.3Net Efficiency9.5

0.0Strength of Schedule0.0

9.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

71.4Tempo68.2

53.1%Effective FG%52.5%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

36.0%Free Throw Rate36.0%

6.7Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–58.8), defensive efficiency (103.7–105.5), net efficiency (9.5–9.3), recent form (9.5–9.3).

Arkansas COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.8–113.2), shooting efficiency (53.1–52.5), ball security (15.6–16.8).