South Alabama

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.5%South Alabama

61.5%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -160

Fresno State

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 73

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreFresno State 76

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricFresno State

51.2MMH Power Index48.8

109.6Offensive Efficiency108.0

106.2Defensive Efficiency106.7

3.4Net Efficiency1.3

-1.4Strength of Schedule0.0

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2

68.2Tempo69.2

52.3%Effective FG%51.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.1%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %30.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate35.7%

2.4Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–48.8), offensive efficiency (109.6–108.0), defensive efficiency (106.2–106.7), net efficiency (3.4–1.3).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.0–-1.4), offensive rebounding (30.1–29.3).