Memphis

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.3%Memphis

64.7%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -183

Dayton

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMemphis 74

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreDayton 78

Team Comparison

MemphisMetricDayton

60.9MMH Power Index58.6

112.6Offensive Efficiency111.9

102.5Defensive Efficiency102.9

10.1Net Efficiency9.0

0.8Strength of Schedule2.2

10.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.0

70.5Tempo68.7

51.2%Effective FG%52.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.7%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

35.6%Free Throw Rate38.7%

7.1Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMemphis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.9–58.6), offensive efficiency (112.6–111.9), defensive efficiency (102.5–102.9), net efficiency (10.1–9.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.2–0.8), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.2), ball security (16.7–17.2).