Arkansas

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.3%Arkansas

70.7%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -241

North Carolina

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 75

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 81

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricNorth Carolina

58.8MMH Power Index59.7

114.8Offensive Efficiency112.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency104.6

9.3Net Efficiency7.9

0.0Strength of Schedule5.5

9.3Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

71.4Tempo69.0

53.1%Effective FG%52.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

36.0%Free Throw Rate36.4%

6.7Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.8–112.5), net efficiency (9.3–7.9), recent form (9.3–7.8), shooting efficiency (53.1–52.6).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.7–58.8), defensive efficiency (104.6–105.5), strength of schedule (5.5–0.0).