Missouri State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
27.7%Missouri State
72.3%Arkansas State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArkansas State -6.2
PROJECTED TOTAL153.9
MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -261
Arkansas State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreMissouri State 74
Projected Total153.9
Projected ScoreArkansas State 80
Team Comparison
50.7MMH Power Index55.8
110.4Offensive Efficiency112.0
106.6Defensive Efficiency104.9
3.8Net Efficiency7.1
-0.5Strength of Schedule-1.4
3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency7.2
68.5Tempo71.2
51.9%Effective FG%52.2%
16.6%Turnover Rate17.4%
31.3%Offensive Rebound %32.6%
37.6%Free Throw Rate36.7%
2.6Average Margin5.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY72.3%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–50.7), offensive efficiency (112.0–110.4), defensive efficiency (104.9–106.6), net efficiency (7.1–3.8).
Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-1.4), ball security (16.6–17.4), free throw rate (37.6–36.7).