UConn

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.8%UConn

52.2%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -109

Illinois

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 74

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreIllinois 75

Team Comparison

UConnMetricIllinois

67.4MMH Power Index62

114.9Offensive Efficiency115.6

101.0Defensive Efficiency103.7

13.9Net Efficiency11.9

4.4Strength of Schedule0.0

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency11.9

67.6Tempo67.8

52.7%Effective FG%52.7%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.8%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

34.5%Free Throw Rate35.3%

9.4Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.4–62.0), defensive efficiency (101.0–103.7), net efficiency (13.9–11.9), strength of schedule (4.4–0.0).

Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.6–114.9), ball security (15.8–16.6), offensive rebounding (32.9–31.9).