Dayton

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.2%Dayton

65.8%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.4

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -192

Florida State

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 74

Projected Total152.4

Projected ScoreFlorida State 78

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricFlorida State

58.6MMH Power Index57.9

111.9Offensive Efficiency111.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency105.5

9.0Net Efficiency6.4

2.2Strength of Schedule5.5

9.0Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

68.7Tempo70.4

52.0%Effective FG%52.1%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.3%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

38.7%Free Throw Rate35.6%

6.2Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.6–57.9), defensive efficiency (102.9–105.5), net efficiency (9.0–6.4), recent form (9.0–6.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–2.2), shooting efficiency (52.1–52.0), ball security (16.3–16.7).