Valparaiso

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.1%Valparaiso

69.9%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -232

UNC Wilmington

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 71

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 77

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricUNC Wilmington

54MMH Power Index57.4

110.6Offensive Efficiency112.4

104.8Defensive Efficiency103.8

5.8Net Efficiency8.6

1.1Strength of Schedule-0.4

5.8Last 10 Net Efficiency8.6

68.3Tempo68.0

51.2%Effective FG%51.8%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.2%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

36.8%Free Throw Rate37.3%

3.9Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.0), offensive efficiency (112.4–110.6), defensive efficiency (103.8–104.8), net efficiency (8.6–5.8).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.1–-0.4).