Little Rock
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
16.8%Little Rock
83.2%Arkansas State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArkansas State -10.4
PROJECTED TOTAL153.5
MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -495
Arkansas State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreLittle Rock 72
Projected Total153.5
Projected ScoreArkansas State 82
Team Comparison
45.3MMH Power Index55.8
107.3Offensive Efficiency112.0
107.8Defensive Efficiency104.9
-0.5Net Efficiency7.1
-2.1Strength of Schedule-1.4
-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.2
68.8Tempo71.2
51.6%Effective FG%52.2%
17.2%Turnover Rate17.4%
31.1%Offensive Rebound %32.6%
34.0%Free Throw Rate36.7%
-0.3Average Margin5.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY83.2%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
10–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–45.3), offensive efficiency (112.0–107.3), defensive efficiency (104.9–107.8), net efficiency (7.1–-0.5).
Little Rock COUNTERS WITHball security (17.2–17.4).