UMBC

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.3%UMBC

71.7%Wagner

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.0

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -253

Wagner

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 70

Projected Total147.0

Projected ScoreWagner 77

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricWagner

36.8MMH Power Index39.8

104.2Offensive Efficiency105.8

111.1Defensive Efficiency109.4

-6.9Net Efficiency-3.6

-3.7Strength of Schedule-4.6

-7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.5

67.3Tempo68.3

52.6%Effective FG%51.5%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

35.4%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-4.7Average Margin-2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wagner HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWagner holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.8–36.8), offensive efficiency (105.8–104.2), defensive efficiency (109.4–111.1), net efficiency (-3.6–-6.9).

UMBC COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.7–-4.6), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.5), ball security (16.1–17.2).