Arkansas State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
32.1%Arkansas State
67.9%St. Thomas-Minnesota
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -4.8
PROJECTED TOTAL155.3
MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -212
St. Thomas-Minnesota
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreArkansas State 75
Projected Total155.3
Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 80
Team Comparison
55.8MMH Power Index57
112.0Offensive Efficiency113.2
104.9Defensive Efficiency103.8
7.1Net Efficiency9.4
-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.7
7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4
71.2Tempo69.5
52.2%Effective FG%53.8%
17.4%Turnover Rate16.0%
32.6%Offensive Rebound %28.6%
36.7%Free Throw Rate35.6%
5.1Average Margin6.6
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY67.9%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.0–55.8), offensive efficiency (113.2–112.0), defensive efficiency (103.8–104.9), net efficiency (9.4–7.1).
Arkansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.7), offensive rebounding (32.6–28.6), free throw rate (36.7–35.6).