North Dakota State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
25.3%North Dakota State
74.7%Illinois State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADIllinois State -7.0
PROJECTED TOTAL150.1
MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -295
Illinois State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 72
Projected Total150.1
Projected ScoreIllinois State 79
Team Comparison
56.4MMH Power Index59.8
112.6Offensive Efficiency112.9
103.7Defensive Efficiency102.4
8.9Net Efficiency10.5
-2.7Strength of Schedule1.1
9.0Last 10 Net Efficiency10.5
69.3Tempo68.3
52.6%Effective FG%52.6%
16.4%Turnover Rate16.7%
31.1%Offensive Rebound %30.2%
34.7%Free Throw Rate34.8%
6.2Average Margin7.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Illinois State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY74.7%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–56.4), offensive efficiency (112.9–112.6), defensive efficiency (102.4–103.7), net efficiency (10.5–8.9).
North Dakota State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.4–16.7), offensive rebounding (31.1–30.2).