North Carolina

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GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.6%North Carolina

73.4%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -276

NC State

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 73

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreNC State 80

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricNC State

59.7MMH Power Index63.9

112.5Offensive Efficiency115.1

104.6Defensive Efficiency103.9

7.9Net Efficiency11.2

5.5Strength of Schedule5.5

7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency11.2

69.0Tempo69.6

52.6%Effective FG%52.8%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.8%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %30.1%

36.4%Free Throw Rate35.8%

5.4Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–59.7), offensive efficiency (115.1–112.5), defensive efficiency (103.9–104.6), net efficiency (11.2–7.9).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.9–30.1), free throw rate (36.4–35.8).