South Alabama

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.5%South Alabama

74.5%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -292

Arkansas State

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 73

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreArkansas State 80

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricArkansas State

51.2MMH Power Index55.8

109.6Offensive Efficiency112.0

106.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

3.4Net Efficiency7.1

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.2

68.2Tempo71.2

52.3%Effective FG%52.2%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.4%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

36.8%Free Throw Rate36.7%

2.4Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–51.2), offensive efficiency (112.0–109.6), defensive efficiency (104.9–106.2), net efficiency (7.1–3.4).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.3–52.2), ball security (15.7–17.4), free throw rate (36.8–36.7).