Georgia Southern
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
11.3%Georgia Southern
88.7%Arkansas State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArkansas State -13.4
PROJECTED TOTAL157.1
MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -785
Arkansas State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 72
Projected Total157.1
Projected ScoreArkansas State 85
Team Comparison
40.5MMH Power Index55.8
106.4Offensive Efficiency112.0
111.6Defensive Efficiency104.9
-5.2Net Efficiency7.1
-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4
-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency7.2
70.5Tempo71.2
52.0%Effective FG%52.2%
16.1%Turnover Rate17.4%
30.2%Offensive Rebound %32.6%
36.7%Free Throw Rate36.7%
-3.7Average Margin5.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY88.7%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–40.5), offensive efficiency (112.0–106.4), defensive efficiency (104.9–111.6), net efficiency (7.1–-5.2).
Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–17.4).