Tarleton State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
46.3%Tarleton State
53.7%Florida Gulf Coast
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADFlorida Gulf Coast -1.0
PROJECTED TOTAL153.1
MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida Gulf Coast -116
Florida Gulf Coast
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreTarleton State 76
Projected Total153.1
Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 77
Team Comparison
48.9MMH Power Index44.9
108.0Offensive Efficiency107.4
105.5Defensive Efficiency109.8
2.5Net Efficiency-2.4
-2.1Strength of Schedule-1.9
2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.3
70.6Tempo69.5
51.2%Effective FG%52.0%
17.5%Turnover Rate16.4%
31.0%Offensive Rebound %31.2%
37.5%Free Throw Rate34.3%
1.7Average Margin-1.6
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Florida Gulf Coast HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY53.7%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
7–4
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.9–44.9), offensive efficiency (108.0–107.4), defensive efficiency (105.5–109.8), net efficiency (2.5–-2.4).
Florida Gulf Coast COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.9–-2.1), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.2), ball security (16.4–17.5).