Gonzaga

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.8%Gonzaga

58.2%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -139

Michigan State

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 74

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreMichigan State 77

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricMichigan State

62MMH Power Index59

113.8Offensive Efficiency113.2

101.9Defensive Efficiency103.7

11.9Net Efficiency9.5

0.0Strength of Schedule0.0

11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.7Tempo68.2

52.9%Effective FG%52.5%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

34.7%Free Throw Rate36.0%

8.3Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.0–59.0), offensive efficiency (113.8–113.2), defensive efficiency (101.9–103.7), net efficiency (11.9–9.5).

Michigan State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (32.5–31.8), free throw rate (36.0–34.7).