Belmont

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.3%Belmont

75.7%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -312

Illinois State

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 72

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreIllinois State 79

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricIllinois State

53.9MMH Power Index59.8

111.8Offensive Efficiency112.9

106.1Defensive Efficiency102.4

5.7Net Efficiency10.5

1.1Strength of Schedule1.1

5.7Last 10 Net Efficiency10.5

69.9Tempo68.3

54.2%Effective FG%52.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.7%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

35.0%Free Throw Rate34.8%

4.0Average Margin7.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–53.9), offensive efficiency (112.9–111.8), defensive efficiency (102.4–106.1), net efficiency (10.5–5.7).

Belmont COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (54.2–52.6), offensive rebounding (30.3–30.2), free throw rate (35.0–34.8).