Pennsylvania

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.1%Pennsylvania

55.9%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -127

Michigan State

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 75

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreMichigan State 76

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricMichigan State

62.4MMH Power Index59

114.8Offensive Efficiency113.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency103.7

13.6Net Efficiency9.5

-0.6Strength of Schedule0.0

13.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.5Tempo68.2

51.7%Effective FG%52.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

35.9%Free Throw Rate36.0%

9.4Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPennsylvania holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.4–59.0), offensive efficiency (114.8–113.2), defensive efficiency (101.2–103.7), net efficiency (13.6–9.5).

Michigan State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.0–-0.6), shooting efficiency (52.5–51.7), offensive rebounding (32.5–30.9).