Arkansas State

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GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.9%Arkansas State

58.1%James Madison

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJames Madison -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEJames Madison -139

James Madison

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 76

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreJames Madison 78

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricJames Madison

55.8MMH Power Index52.9

112.0Offensive Efficiency111.0

104.9Defensive Efficiency106.2

7.1Net Efficiency4.8

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4

7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency4.8

71.2Tempo68.3

52.2%Effective FG%52.3%

17.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

36.7%Free Throw Rate36.0%

5.1Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

James Madison HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–52.9), offensive efficiency (112.0–111.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–106.2), net efficiency (7.1–4.8).

James Madison COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.3–52.2), ball security (16.8–17.4).