Dayton

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.9%Dayton

53.1%Davidson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDavidson -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDavidson -113

Davidson

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 73

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreDavidson 74

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricDavidson

58.6MMH Power Index53.1

111.9Offensive Efficiency110.1

102.9Defensive Efficiency105.6

9.0Net Efficiency4.5

2.2Strength of Schedule2.2

9.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

68.7Tempo67.3

52.0%Effective FG%52.4%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

38.7%Free Throw Rate35.1%

6.2Average Margin3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Davidson HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.6–53.1), offensive efficiency (111.9–110.1), defensive efficiency (102.9–105.6), net efficiency (9.0–4.5).

Davidson COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.4–52.0), ball security (16.4–16.7), offensive rebounding (30.3–29.8).