California

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.8%California

95.2%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -19.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -1983

Duke

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 66

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreDuke 85

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricDuke

51.5MMH Power Index77.1

108.8Offensive Efficiency119.3

107.6Defensive Efficiency97.4

1.2Net Efficiency21.9

5.5Strength of Schedule5.5

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency21.9

69.5Tempo67.9

52.1%Effective FG%53.2%

16.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

29.7%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

36.0%Free Throw Rate36.6%

0.8Average Margin14.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (77.1–51.5), offensive efficiency (119.3–108.8), defensive efficiency (97.4–107.6), net efficiency (21.9–1.2).

California COUNTERS WITHball security (16.2–16.5).