North Florida

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GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.2%North Florida

85.8%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTarleton State -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.1

MODEL MONEYLINETarleton State -604

Tarleton State

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MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 72

Projected Total156.1

Projected ScoreTarleton State 84

Team Comparison

North FloridaMetricTarleton State

38MMH Power Index48.9

106.0Offensive Efficiency108.0

113.9Defensive Efficiency105.5

-7.9Net Efficiency2.5

-1.9Strength of Schedule-2.1

-7.9Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

70.9Tempo70.6

52.4%Effective FG%51.2%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.5%

29.7%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

34.2%Free Throw Rate37.5%

-5.6Average Margin1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.9–38.0), offensive efficiency (108.0–106.0), defensive efficiency (105.5–113.9), net efficiency (2.5–-7.9).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.9–-2.1), shooting efficiency (52.4–51.2), ball security (16.8–17.5).