North Carolina
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
26.1%North Carolina
73.9%Louisville
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADLouisville -6.7
PROJECTED TOTAL153.3
MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -283
Louisville
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 73
Projected Total153.3
Projected ScoreLouisville 80
Team Comparison
59.7MMH Power Index64.2
112.5Offensive Efficiency114.5
104.6Defensive Efficiency103.0
7.9Net Efficiency11.5
5.5Strength of Schedule5.5
7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency11.5
69.0Tempo70.0
52.6%Effective FG%53.2%
16.0%Turnover Rate16.7%
30.9%Offensive Rebound %31.2%
36.4%Free Throw Rate35.4%
5.4Average Margin8.0
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Louisville HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY73.9%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–59.7), offensive efficiency (114.5–112.5), defensive efficiency (103.0–104.6), net efficiency (11.5–7.9).
North Carolina COUNTERS WITHball security (16.0–16.7), free throw rate (36.4–35.4).