App State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
24.7%App State
75.3%Arkansas State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArkansas State -7.2
PROJECTED TOTAL151.2
MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -305
Arkansas State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreApp State 72
Projected Total151.2
Projected ScoreArkansas State 79
Team Comparison
50.7MMH Power Index55.8
109.2Offensive Efficiency112.0
106.2Defensive Efficiency104.9
3.0Net Efficiency7.1
-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4
3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.2
67.0Tempo71.2
51.8%Effective FG%52.2%
16.3%Turnover Rate17.4%
31.6%Offensive Rebound %32.6%
36.8%Free Throw Rate36.7%
2.0Average Margin5.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY75.3%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–50.7), offensive efficiency (112.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (104.9–106.2), net efficiency (7.1–3.0).
App State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.3–17.4), free throw rate (36.8–36.7).