Illinois State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
46.8%Illinois State
53.2%Belmont
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADBelmont -0.8
PROJECTED TOTAL151.6
MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -114
Belmont
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreIllinois State 75
Projected Total151.6
Projected ScoreBelmont 76
Team Comparison
59.8MMH Power Index53.9
112.9Offensive Efficiency111.8
102.4Defensive Efficiency106.1
10.5Net Efficiency5.7
1.1Strength of Schedule1.1
10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.7
68.3Tempo69.9
52.6%Effective FG%54.2%
16.7%Turnover Rate17.0%
30.2%Offensive Rebound %30.3%
34.8%Free Throw Rate35.0%
7.1Average Margin4.0
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Belmont HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY53.2%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
7–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–53.9), offensive efficiency (112.9–111.8), defensive efficiency (102.4–106.1), net efficiency (10.5–5.7).
Belmont COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (54.2–52.6), offensive rebounding (30.3–30.2), free throw rate (35.0–34.8).