Georgia State
0-0GAME THAT MATTERSAT
22.1%Georgia State
77.9%Arkansas State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArkansas State -8.2
PROJECTED TOTAL153.9
MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -352
Arkansas State
0-0MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreGeorgia State 73
Projected Total153.9
Projected ScoreArkansas State 81
Team Comparison
49.5MMH Power Index55.8
108.3Offensive Efficiency112.0
106.2Defensive Efficiency104.9
2.1Net Efficiency7.1
-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.4
2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.2
69.3Tempo71.2
50.3%Effective FG%52.2%
16.4%Turnover Rate17.4%
30.1%Offensive Rebound %32.6%
36.2%Free Throw Rate36.7%
1.4Average Margin5.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ
Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE
WIN PROBABILITY77.9%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
9–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–49.5), offensive efficiency (112.0–108.3), defensive efficiency (104.9–106.2), net efficiency (7.1–2.1).
Georgia State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.4–17.4).