Merrimack

0-0

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Merrimack

61.7%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL146.4

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -161

Fairfield

0-0

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 72

Projected Total146.4

Projected ScoreFairfield 75

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricFairfield

51.9MMH Power Index49.7

109.6Offensive Efficiency109.3

105.1Defensive Efficiency106.7

4.5Net Efficiency2.6

-2.2Strength of Schedule-2.2

4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

66.7Tempo68.4

51.3%Effective FG%51.3%

16.2%Turnover Rate16.3%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

36.7%Free Throw Rate33.9%

3.0Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.9–49.7), offensive efficiency (109.6–109.3), defensive efficiency (105.1–106.7), net efficiency (4.5–2.6).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (32.1–29.3).